Rest-of-Season Fantasy Football Rankings: Buy Drake London, Sell Tyler Warren

Rest-of-Season Fantasy Football Rankings: Buy Drake London, Sell Tyler Warren

Joe Metz outlines how he is leveraging our rest-of-season fantasy football rankings to target players to buy ahead of Week 4 and ones to sell.

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With three weeks of data in the books, injuries left and right, and players either under- or over-performing relative to preseason expectations, the rest-of-season fantasy football rankings have a lot of movement.

Let's dive into a pair of players who offer nice buying opportunities based on their ROS rankings, and two players I would sell by leveraging their ROS rank.

Buy These Players In The Rest-Of-Season Fantasy Football Rankings

Zay Flowers | WR14 | Ravens

One of these things is not like the other for Zay Flowers through three weeks of action:

  • PPR Points Per Game: 20.7 (WR8)
  • Yards Per Route Run: 9.36 (WR1)
  • Targets Per Route Run: 48.0% (WR1)
  • Routes: 25 (WR115)

Despite ranking as a mid-range WR1 on a per-game fantasy points basis, Flowers has only run 25 routes, given he missed half of the game in Week 1, all of Week 2, and was on a pitch count in Week 3. Had he played in Week 2 and a full allotment of snaps in Week 3, we could be looking at a top-five wide receiver in terms of total fantasy points, yards, and targets right now, as he's clearly the offensive focal point for Declan Doyle.

Back to what should be 100% in Week 4, acquiring Flowers for around the WR14 ROS ranking price tag (or even a bit lower) could be something you look back at as a turning point in your season given his upside to finish as a legit WR1.

Drake London | WR15 | Falcons

It may be hard to acquire London for a reasonable offer right now since we're fresh off a near-200-yard outburst in Week 3, but if you can buy him for a mid-range WR2 price tag, it's worth pursuing aggressively. He's been nothing short of an elite WR1 whenever catching the football from Michael Penix, outlined below (per TruMedia):

QBPPGTar%TPRRYPRR
Michael Penix20.737.6%35.2%3.39
Kirk Cousins12.6528.0%25.8%1.91
Cooper Rush7.027.0%23.3%1.86

A 37.6% target share, 3.39 yards per route run, and 20.7 PPR points per game will feed families if this is what London brings to the table over the rest of this season with Penix at the helm. While the Falcons won't hang 35+ points on their opponent every week and London won't make up nearly 80% of their receiving yardage total, the passing game starts and ends with him. I value London as a mid-range WR1 rest-of-season, and will be aggressively targeting him if I can get him for anything cheaper than that.


Sell These Players In The Rest-Of-Season Fantasy Football Rankings

Quinshon Judkins | RB22 | Browns

Below-average (at best) offense aside, Judkins simply doesn't look like the same explosive running back we saw in his rookie year before his knee injury. He's averaged only 3.0 yards per rush this season and has yet to break a run longer than 11 yards. He's still dominating the rushing work (71% of team attempts) with 100% of the attempts inside the five-yard line, but they simply haven't amounted to anything of value.

Raheim Sanders has stepped up as a thorn in Judkins' side with Dylan Sampson sidelined (36% routes and 12% target share, tied with Judkins), capping his pass-game ceiling in an offense that will still face plenty of negative game script. A mid-RB2 finish feels like the ceiling on Judkins this season, and his ROS rank reflects that, as he sits as a back-end RB2. If someone is hurting at running back and you need help elsewhere on your roster, I'd look to use Judkins as a way to do so.

Tyler Warren | TE3 | Colts

This is less about Tyler Warren and more about how I feel more confident in tight ends ranked behind him in our rest-of-season rankings, making his TE3 ranking feel a bit aggressive.

He does lead the Colts in target share (24%), and his 92% snap share and 87% route rate are elite. He also saw a 29% target share in the Colts' first game without Alec Pierce in Week 3 (tied with Josh Downs for team lead). All that said, the Colts offense will still center around Jonathan Taylor, especially as they draw closer to the goal line, and this is a Colts team that has scored a touchdown on only 22% of their drives so far (17th).

There's a comfortable floor and ceiling combination with Warren, but I would rather use his value in the ROS rankings to tier down slightly—to a TE like Dalton Kincaid as a buy-low after a down game, George Kittle in a depleted SF pass-catching room, or Tucker Kraft as a buy-low in a highly concentrated passing attack—and leverage the tier down to get something additional in return ... whether it be a high-upside flex, handcuff stash, etc.

Players Mentioned in this Article

  1. Zay Flowers
    ZayFlowers
    WRBALBAL
    PPG
    13.7
    Proj
    12.4
  2. Drake London
    DrakeLondon
    WRATLATL
    PPG
    4.1
    Proj
    12.1
  3. Quinshon Judkins
    QuinshonJudkinsQ
    RBCLECLE
    PPG
    7.4
    Proj
    10.1
  4. Tyler Warren
    TylerWarren
    TEINDIND
    PPG
    10.1
    Proj
    10.0

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